How to trade NFL MVP and Super Bowl futures on ProphetX, OG.com, Kalshi and Polymarket

1 week ago 10

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With the NFL season heating up, it's the perfect time to look ahead at the futures markets and find value in the biggest awards and the ultimate prize in football.

The MVP race is beginning to take shape, with several star quarterbacks looking to separate themselves from the pack, while a handful of contenders are making early statements in the race for the Super Bowl.

From identifying potential MVP winners to finding teams built for a deep playoff run, there are plenty of opportunities to get ahead of the market before the odds shift. Here are our favorite NFL futures picks for MVP and Super Bowl champion, including the players and teams worth backing now.

Prediction markets are a growing medium for sports fans to get even more invested in the action. Instead of betting against a bookmaker who’s already tilted the odds in favor of the house, prediction markets involve users creating their own markets via a two-digit probability that represents the likelihood of an event happening.

Now is the perfect time for sports fans to use prediction markets. New users can get started with the TSN promo code for a $75 prediction bonus on ProphetX. The Sporting News shares which prediction markets are best to use for the NFL, including the best offers, picks and information about each platform.

MORE: A complete guide for using ProphetX

Best NFL prediction market apps

Platform	Fee structure	When you're charged	Losing trade
ProphetX	Commission on net profits	Market settlement (only for winning payouts)	Stake only (no fee)
Kalshi	Price-weighted formula	Order execution (upfront when order is matched)	Stake + upfront fee
Polymarket	Maker-taker tiering	Order execution (upfront on entry/exit)	Stake + upfront fee
OG.com	Spread-based	Order execution (included in buy/sell price)	Stake + upfront drag

How to trade NFL futures on prediction markets

Trading on NFL Futures is a simple process for users to take part in. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to trade in on the action:

(if applicable) Create a prediction market account: Users must choose which prediction market to create an account with.
(if applicable) Verify your account and deposit: Once users set up their account with verification details and deposit funds, they can move on to making a prediction.
Find the NFL Futures section: This location varies across the market, but this can usually be found on the top or side navigation bar.
Locate a desirable game and market: Now that you've made it to the NFL Futures tab, you'll be presented with games that can be predicted on. Click on a matchup and find a market. Good luck!

When should you trade NFL futures?

Before the regular season: Futures odds are often at their longest, making this a good time to target teams or players you believe are undervalued before the season begins.
After Week 1: Early performances can shift the market quickly. Look for players or teams whose odds haven't fully adjusted to what you saw on the field.
After the first month: By Weeks 4–5, there's a larger sample of games to evaluate quarterback play, team consistency and MVP contenders, while some odds may still offer value.
Around the midseason point: Weeks 8–10 can be a strong window to reassess MVP and Super Bowl contenders using their records, performance and remaining schedule.
After major injuries: A key injury can dramatically change a team's championship outlook. Look for opportunities when the market overreacts, but account for the actual impact on the team's chances.
After the trade deadline: Once rosters are more settled, it's easier to assess which teams have the depth and talent to make a playoff run.
As the playoff picture takes shape: In December, teams with strong records and favorable paths to the postseason may become more attractive, although their odds are often shorter.
Before the playoffs begin: This is the last opportunity to evaluate the full Super Bowl field before the postseason starts. Consider playoff seeding, likely matchups, and home-field advantage.

NFL futures markets on ProphetX

ProphetX has a selection of available markets for NFL Futures. As a reminder for those used to sports betting, ProphetX displays market percentages instead of betting odds. The percentages reflect the collective implied probability of an event. Meanwhile, betting odds are set by the house to bake in a profit margin.

Here's an outline of some markets users can predict on:

Super Bowl LXI Winner · 2027 NFL Champion
AFC Winner 2026/27 · AFC Champion
NFC Winner 2026/27 · NFC Champion
NFL MVP 2026/27 · NFL MVP

MORE: Promo code TSN gets you $75 in investment funds when you trade $50 on ProphetX

Super Bowl winner value picks on ProphetX

Kansas City Chiefs (10% at ProphetX)

The Kansas City Chiefs are an appealing Super Bowl pick because of their championship pedigree, elite quarterback play, and experience performing under pressure. With Patrick Mahomes leading the offense, Kansas City always has the potential to make a deep postseason run, even when facing elite defenses. Andy Reid's ability to make adjustments in big games and the team's familiarity with the playoff environment are major advantages. If the Chiefs stay healthy, improve consistency on offense, and keep making key plays in critical moments, they have the talent and coaching to compete for another Lombardi Trophy.

Seattle Seahawks (10% at ProphetX)

The Seattle Seahawks are an intriguing Super Bowl pick because of their balanced roster, defensive potential, and ability to compete with the NFC's top teams. Seattle has the pieces for a deep playoff run if its offense keeps producing and its defense creates pressure and forces turnovers. Strong quarterback play and an effective running game could help the Seahawks control the tempo in important matchups, while their physical style gives them the potential to compete with more established contenders. If Seattle stays healthy and maintains its momentum, it has the talent to emerge as a legitimate Super Bowl threat.

MORE: Promo code TSN gets you $75 in investment funds when you trade $50 on ProphetX

NFL MVP value picks on ProphetX

Josh Allen (33.3% at ProphetX)

Allen is an excellent pick to win NFL MVP because he can impact games as both a passer and a runner. The Buffalo Bills quarterback consistently puts up impressive numbers through the air while adding another dimension with his rushing ability, making him one of the league's most difficult players to defend. Allen's combination of arm strength, mobility, and red-zone production gives him a high statistical ceiling, while Buffalo's status as a Super Bowl contender strengthens his case for the award. If Allen continues producing touchdowns at a high rate and leads the Bills to one of the AFC's best records, he has a strong chance to add another MVP trophy to his résumé.

Brock Purdy (39.68% at ProphetX)

Purdy is an intriguing pick to win NFL MVP because of his ability to operate Kyle Shanahan's offense efficiently and lead the San Francisco 49ers to wins. Purdy excels at making quick decisions, distributing the ball to his playmakers, and capitalizing on opportunities in the passing game. With San Francisco's offensive system designed to create favorable matchups, Purdy has the potential to put up strong passing numbers while keeping the 49ers among the NFC's top contenders. If he maintains a high touchdown total, limits turnovers, and leads San Francisco to one of the league's best records, Purdy could emerge as a legitimate MVP candidate.

NFL futures markets on Kalshi

Super Bowl LXI Winner · 2027 NFL Champion
AFC Winner 2026/27 · AFC Champion
NFC Winner 2026/27 · NFC Champion
NFL MVP 2026/27 · NFL MVP
Worst regular season record
Best regular season record
Conference Championship qualifiers
Divisional Round qualifiers
League leaders
Team specials
Season specials
Stage of elimination
Season records
H2H win total

NFL futures markets on OG.com

OG.com also has a solid list of markets for users to make predictions on. Here's what platform users can decide on for NFL futures:

Super Bowl LXI Winner · 2027 NFL Champion
AFC Winner 2026/27 · AFC Champion
NFC Winner 2026/27 · NFC Champion
NFL MVP 2026/27 · NFL MVP
Division winners
Coach of the Year
NFL Defensive Player of the Year
NFL Offensive Player of the Year
NFL Comeback Player of the Year
NFL worst regular season record
Team win totals
Statistical leaders
Offensive Rookie of the Year
Defensive Rookie of the Year ... and more

MORE: New users on OG.com can trade $10 to get $10 using code TSN25

Super Bowl winner value picks on OG.com

LA Rams (12% at OG.com)

The Los Angeles Rams are a strong Super Bowl pick because of their experienced coaching staff, explosive offense, and ability to compete with the NFC's best teams. With Sean McVay leading the way, Los Angeles has a proven system that maximizes its offensive talent and creates matchup problems for opposing defenses. Matthew Stafford's arm talent and experience, combined with Puka Nacua's playmaking and the team's supporting cast, give the Rams the potential to score against any opponent. If Los Angeles stays healthy and its defense keeps making key stops, the Rams have the coaching and roster to make another deep postseason run and compete for a Lombardi Trophy.

Cincinnati Bengals (6% at OG.com)

The Cincinnati Bengals are a solid pick to win the Super Bowl because of their explosive passing attack and the star power of quarterback Joe Burrow and wide receivers Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. When healthy, Cincinnati has one of the NFL's most dangerous offenses, capable of scoring against even the league's strongest defenses. Burrow's ability to deliver in high-pressure situations, combined with Chase's game-changing playmaking, gives the Bengals the firepower to compete with any AFC contender. If Cincinnati stays healthy, protects Burrow, and improves its defensive consistency, it could make a deep playoff run and contend for its first Super Bowl championship.

MORE: Which prediction market app is best for sports?

NFL MVP value picks on OG.com

Joe Burrow (7% at OG.com)

Joe Burrow is an intriguing pick to win NFL MVP because of his elite passing ability and the explosive weapons surrounding him in Cincinnati. With Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins giving him two dangerous receiving options, Burrow has the potential to produce big passing numbers and lead one of the league's most productive offenses. His accuracy, pocket presence, and ability to deliver under pressure make him a strong candidate for an MVP-caliber campaign. If Burrow stays healthy, racks up passing touchdowns, and leads the Bengals to one of the AFC's best records, he could make a serious push for his first MVP award.

Jahmyr Gibbs (2% at OG.com)

Jahmyr Gibbs is an interesting NFL MVP candidate thanks to his explosive playmaking and versatility in the Detroit Lions’ high-powered offense. He can make an impact as both a runner and receiver, giving him several ways to rack up yardage and score touchdowns. His speed, agility, and breakaway ability make him one of the league’s most dangerous offensive weapons, and Detroit’s standing among the NFC’s top teams could strengthen his case. If Gibbs keeps delivering explosive performances and finishes among the league leaders in touchdowns and scrimmage yards, he could challenge the quarterback-heavy MVP field and make a run at the award.